Global Automotive Lubricants Aftermarket Estimated to Reach US$ 121 Bn by 2026
The global
automotive lubricants aftermarket was
valued around US$ 82 Bn in 2016 and is anticipated to expand at a
CAGR of 4% from 2018 to 2026, according to a new report by
Transparency Market Research (TMR) titled ‘Automotive Lubricants
Aftermarket - Global Industry Analysis, Size, Share, Growth, Trends,
and Forecast, 2017–2026.’ Lubricant is a substance that is made
up of base fluids and additives. A typical lubricant composition
consist of 80% to 90% base oil and the rest is additives, However,
this composition is subject to change as per the application.
Lubricants are used for their ability to increase the operating
lifespan of mechanical parts. They are used to minimize the friction
between parts in contact with each other, thus eliminating wear and
prolonging lifespan by Robust economies of countries such as China,
India, Brazil, and Middle East have increased disposable income of
the population, resulting in higher car ownership.This, in turn, has
been augmenting the consumption of automotive lubricants in recent
times. Rise in demand for lightweight and high performance vehicles
mandates the use of high-quality lubricants. This is a key factor
propelling the consumption of automotive lubricants.
Increasing
Motorization Rate Coupled with Sales of New Vehicles and Established
World Vehicle Fleet
Increase in demand
for vehicles due to economic prosperity economy and increasing
purchase power have resulted in higher car ownership. The global
motorization rate i.e. vehicle ownership per 1000 inhabitants
increased to 182 per thousand inhabitants in 2015 as against 178 in
the previous year. Europe and North America are mature regions of the
market for aftermarket automotive lubricants, with car ownership
rates as high as 580 and 680 per thousand inhabitants in 2015. Low
penetration of automotive vehicles, particularly in regions such as
Latin America, Asia, and Middle East & Africa, presents
significant opportunities for the automotive lubricants aftermarket.
For instance, the motorization rate in Asia, Africa, and Latin
America stood at 105, 42, and 176 per thousand inhabitants,
respectively, in 2015. Along with this, accelerating economy, rapid
urbanization, and increasing per capita income may compel individuals
to own a vehicle. This, in turn, is expected to create an incremental
market opportunity for the automotive lubricants aftermarket in the
near future.
Longer Oil
Drain Intervals May Dampen Market Expansion, but Increasing
Penetration of Synthetic and Semi-synthetic Automotive Lubricants
Offers Future Expansion Opportunity
Lubricant oil
chemistry and engine technology have evolved tremendously in recent
years, resulting in improved engine oil drain interval. During the
1950s, a truck engine oil change would have to be performed for every
500 miles. But those days are gone. Currently, it is possible to
achieve an oil drain interval as high as 50,000 miles in heavy duty
vehicles. Factors that have resulted in improved oil drain interval
include cleaner fuels, higher quality lubricants, more dependable
engines, and improved filter technology. The standard oil drain
interval is 25,000 miles. However, various factors such as engine
design, vehicle age, condition, driving patterns, and oil properties
are known to affect the engine oil drain interval. Oil service
intervals are pre-determined by engine manufacturers and are designed
to provide optimum engine protection within intervals. Majority of
the vehicle owner tend to follow these instructions, However, there
has been growing trend of lengthening the oil service intervals
beyond the OEM specifications. Extended oil drain intervals help
fleet owners to reduce their operating and maintenance costs, mainly
by keeping cars and trucks on road for longer. Improvement in engine
oil drain interval is expected to decrease consumption of engine oils
in commercial vehicles. This is anticipated to eventually decrease
the consumption of lubricants during the forecast period and may
dampen demand for aftermarket automotive lubricants.
A lubricant is a
package consisting of base oil and certain additives to improve
performance. Although, mineral-based automotive lubricants have been
dominating the market due to their reasonable prices, there has been
a shift toward the usage of synthetic and semi-synthetic based
lubricants. As modern light weight vehicle engines are put under
enormous stress, automakers worldwide are shifting toward less
viscosity lubricant grades, which require synthetic base oils to meet
mandated fuel economy standards and emission requirements. Demand for
synthetic lubricants is high in North America and Western Europe.
Europe is a prominent consumer of synthetic and semi-synthetic
automotive lubricants in the aftermarket. In 2015, fully synthetic
lubricants accounted for more than 10% of the market in Western
Europe, with semi-synthetics accounting for market share of around
25%. Automakers across the globe are emphasizing on engine
downsizing, which requires lower viscosity grade oils. This is likely
to present further opportunities for synthetic lubricants over the
forecast period.
Engine Oil
Segment and Increasing Global Vehicle Count of Passenger Cars Driving
Major Chunk of the Revenue
In terms of type,
the automotive lubricants aftermarket can be divided into engine oil,
gear oil, transmission fluid, and others (including coolants,
greases, and brake oil). In terms of volume, the engine oil segment
dominated the automotive lubricants aftermarket, capturing more than
half of the market share in 2017. This is primarily attributed to the
fact that capacity of engine for lubricants is higher than that for
gearboxes or axle cylinders. Engine oils require frequent draining
and replacement than gear oil and transmission fluid, since they
protect the engine from friction wear and tear. Hence, requirement of
engine oils is higher than that of gear oil and transmission fluid.
In terms of application, the global passenger vehicle count stood at
947,080 thousand units in 2017 against the commercial vehicle count
of 335,190 thousand unit for the same year. Hence, the overall
automotive lubricants aftermarket, in terms of consumption, is
dominated by the passenger cars segment due to the sheer number of
existing units.
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Expansion of
Automotive Sector Driven by Emerging Nations of Asia Pacific is
anticipated to drive the Automotive Lubricants Aftermarket in the
Region
In terms of revenue
and volume, Asia Pacific dominated the global automotive lubricants
aftermarket in 2017, constituting more than 30% market share. The
global vehicle fleet count, including passenger cars and commercial
vehicles, in Asia Pacific stood at 384,318 thousand units in 2015
against 359,927 thousand unit for the previous year. The vehicle
fleet in operation in Asia Pacific is nearly one third of the global
fleet. In order to operate and maintain this humongous vehicle fleet,
it has to be fed with lubricants at frequent time intervals. Also,
some of the countries in the region such as China and India have
witnessed a tremendous growth of 15.6% and 9.9% in its passenger
vehicle fleet count, which is indicative of promising expansion of
the automotive lubricants aftermarket in the region.
Consolidated
market with the top few players accounting for more than 70% of the
market Share
The global
automotive lubricants aftermarket is a highly organized market, with
the top players accounting for majority of the market share. Key
players in the Automotive Lubricants Aftermarket are Royal Dutch
Shell plc, ExxonMobil Corporation, BP p.l.c., Chevron Corporation,
Total S.A., Sinopec Corporation, Fuchs Lubricants Co., LUKOIL Oil
Company, Valvoline, Phillips 66, Bharat Petroleum Corporation
Limited, JX Nippon Oil & Energy Corporation, Repsol S.A.,
Petrobras, Petronas, and Indian Oil Corporation Limited. With
plummeting crude oil reserves, the global lubricant market is facing
a tight supply of raw materials. In order to overcome this, major oil
companies are shifting their focus on the development of new refining
techniques and sources. This trend has resulted in establishment of
new refining technologies that are patented by established players to
produce high performance automotive lubricating oil.
Automotive
Lubricants Aftermarket, by Type
-
Engine Oil
-
Gear Oil
-
Transmission Fluid
-
Others
Automotive
Lubricants Aftermarket, by Application
-
Passenger Cars
-
Commercial Vehicles
Automotive
Lubricants Aftermarket: Regional Analysis
-
North America
-
U.S.
-
Canada
-
-
Europe
-
Germany
-
U.K.
-
France
-
Italy
-
Russia
-
Rest of Europe
-
-
Asia Pacific
-
China
-
India
-
Japan
-
ASEAN
-
Rest of Asia Pacific
-
-
Latin America
-
Brazil
-
Mexico
-
Rest of Latin America
-
-
Middle East & Africa (MEA)
-
GCC
-
South Africa
-
Rest of Middle East & Africa
-
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